Cow knife:PMI data actually who to who wrong?
As for PMI data, I to the nation statistics bureau of data always the heart save to query, at'the cow knife say:How do we lead the best day?'In one book, I also clarified my standpoint.The data of this national statistics bureau, lets us frequently for this to the miscarriage of justice happen in market.Now, I tell everyone the true facts.
Statistics bureau in the nation releases a data:The March authorities in China buys agent index number(PMI) accident ascension, attain the tallest level over 12 months.Chinese logistics and purchase unite a meeting(China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing, brief name CFLP) to release to announce to call on Sunday, China in March official PMI is 53.1, is higher than 51.0 of February.The index number is united by CFLP and statistics bureau in China nation to release.
But remit plentiful Chinese manufacturing industry to buy agent index number( PMI) in March set over four months of lately low, only is 48.1, show the economy growth power is lower than an expectation.Implicating the biggest reason of economic growth is to export to increase to soon and significantly fall;Under the influence of debt crisis in Europe, European the need of the market atrophy to cause this year 1-2 months export of together compare increase to soon fall into 7%, only be or so for the half in December,mens sunglasses last year.To industrial increment the value increase soon and implicating of manufacturing industry wage rate.
Two kinds of totally different datas produce disorder the market.If according to authorities of statistics data, the China's second industry not only has no problem, but also circulates at the on-line square of ups and downs, one parties thriving of prospects.But according to remit the statistics data of plentiful China but mean, China's second industry just in the adjustment and the decline, circulate under in the ups and downs line.
According to my several years of experience, should adopt this method test to this data, certainly this is me for the last few years of remark based on personal experience, uncertain science, but usually very quasi-.That is the data that waits national power company announcement to measure with the electricity.If China second industry with the electricity measure be 12%ly increasing to soon circulate above, so, nation's statisticsing the data of bureau is correct;If is lower than 12%, so, remitting the data of plentiful China is correct.
The industrial industry is measured this data with the electricity to cook up.If statistics section must the power company cook up, that disorder that wants to result in the whole charged barbed wire net.And 12% the certain ups and downs line is experience over three years,Mens Oakley Sunglasses calculate with this, actually the whose data is more quasi-, perhaps use this data more science, can not also cook up.
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