The fed has already within two years of its balance sheet expansion 2 times, and early November quantitative easing announced it will let the banknote printing works 20% expansion, the us dollar is the name of the current world economy anchor, as the dollar flood, economic system will lose because the name and chaos anchor, we see now the stock market is resumed, economic recovery growth may be just a monetary disorderly like, in a benchmark has been the environment than see the world is just KeZhouQiuJian just. In 2008, the financial crisis and the great depression of the 1930 s, compared the different consequence is that the last century of the great depression in the depth of global deflation, the United States year up dropped to 10.6%-the deepest CPI,New Era Hats and just the past after the financial crisis, after central Banks of effort, the CPI incredibly still at 1% to 2% of normal interval, emerging market countries have also faced huge inflationary pressure. DaYin money monetary policy really have the effect of ragazzi from deflation? Let us change an Angle to observe the world, might be completely different conclusions. In the gold standard time, every time the financial crisis or debt crisis almost without does not lead to the government announced that monetary and gold temporarily decoupling, 20 century of the great depression of the s, makes the Roosevelt had to ask congress legislation will dollars to gold depreciated, make 1837 years of the establishment of legislation for nearly years of 1 ounce gold for $20.67 to $35 change, the dollar is down about 41% of the gold, this just makes CPI only 10.6% of negative growth, otherwise will overtake reached 1921-15.8%. And today, the lehman collapse of 26 months, gold is down about 38% in the us dollar, if the demand for money as gold have not disappeared, the dollar will have to gold broader declines in the dollar. Change a dress up to history go on stage. If the dollar devaluation of gold by the lowest inflation and crisis addition, this crisis (ended in October 2010) is 40%, the 20 th century when the great depression is-52%. If-50% is target of words, this means that either gold will rise up to $1600 per ounce, or the United States will continue into the of deflation. Of course the former the possibility than the latter the likelihood of much higher. Let us take time window stretched, from the 1970 s to the gold price $2010 can float free play, if use gold to say the U.S. price level (here is not to feel of the residents inflation), 70 s average is 10%, 80 s to 90 s at around 10%, and in the 21 st century ago 10 years of average and dropped back to 10%. Can be roughly that, although have inflation rising period, during the 1970 s and the recent 10 years of inflation is mainly caused by the dollar overflowing, currency, and in the 80 s to the 90 s inflation by currency less influence factors, is the improvement of actual income boost to the country's inflation. This conclusion and U.S. residents income change and is consistent throughout the 1970 s and the first ten years of the 21 st century, the United States non-agricultural enterprise of each hour of real wages growth trend all appear to decline, and the 20 th century for the last 20 years, there is an obvious growth of real wages rise. Actually, after the financial crisis situation, from January 2009 to October 2010, the s&p 500 index fell behind the primary commodity prices rise (IMF announced) rose nearly 20%, while the Shanghai composite index rose by just and primary commodity prices or similar. That is, if with Keynes currency (by package of commodity currency) for price, the current economy and stock market may still fall in consciousness. If to gold as price units, copper prices since the last quarter of 2007 it started falling, early 09 rebound, now about for 7 years about half the peak, and crude oil and coal price in early when the touch, and not like m price tag that a record, just reached in-05 years of highs,Cheap sunglasses after the financial crisis started to decline, at present only rally to about 40% of the peak, but although the three quarter international wheat prices surged since, but the wheat price of gold is actually just back up to 40% of the peak before the crisis. In 2002, the average level of the measure since copper prices, have been returned to average level, coal and crude oil prices mean a small below, and wheat prices significantly lower than the mean and this may mean that once of the excess monetary entered the agricultural product market, so the price of wheat and rose 30% is not impossible. How? In the golden eyes, the world may be more normal some! Of course, this is not to say that the return to the gold standard world will be better.

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