2012 years would not be the end of the world, and also the new starting point of the cycle, the main economies in the cycle again and the balance of tough choices, political and economic conservative carefully, will promote the growth of mild and moderate changes. For the eurozone is concerned, debt crisis is not only a sovereign state credit crisis, the insults to the euro survival problems. If the European future optimism, then can believe that the euro will ultimately to defend and fight, therefore, the solution of the debt crisis is only a matter of time. Although the fiscal squeeze will become the eurozone advocate fundamental key, but also can look forward through the system change to achieve the goal of unified fiscal discipline. China's economy into low growth stage, but in social crisis background, China also had to start the government reform,MLB Cap to adapt to the transformation of the economic and social changes need. China's current economic downward pressure appear, reflecting enterprise profit for less, a decline in investment, but also expressed for the private enterprise survival crisis there. Of course, the stock market is expected to pessimistic interpretation of it more, stock index are falling, the center of gravity you step down, investors to pieces. Considering the trade surplus is difficult to continue, foreign exchange has now combines negative growth, right now even if the government no longer control the real estate, the real estate market in long-term inflection point has revealed. Increase in inventory, money continue under the shortage, real estate investment slowdown cannot be avoided. Real estate is concerned, "a hard landing" is a reality. So the key to the problem is, the real estate "hard" does that mean China's economy will also heavy fell down to the ground. Long-term since, the real estate in the economic constitution occupy the important position, not only industrial chain long, obtain employment is extensive, and local fiscal revenue also relies mainly on the real estate taxes and land in and out of income. See it like this, the acceleration of real estate landed, natural affect global economy. Face the dilemma of real estate, the Chinese government take hedge measures is accelerated security room construction, this in investment and construction upstream and downstream pull will have a positive effect on. Security problem is how to get the funds room, local government how to mobilize the enthusiasm. The local government initiative is not a problem, officials enthusiasm depends on interests, not only the economic interests, political interests is more important, because without the seat, he won't have any interest. So, take administrative means promoting security room construction can solve the problem. Money is a big problem, and financial innovation is most important. But with China's state-owned financial dominance of the market system to see, if the government really to solve these problems, it will not be a problem, such as issue security room bonds, etc. Once the related to debt, problem again. After a huge amount of government investment from the local debt risk how to resolve? From the political economics, conclusion is not pessimistic. Place the debt on the man is not local officials, but the central government. In theory the debt crisis may not happen in reality, this is because China does not have the government bankruptcy system. The central government to solve place as debt problems, such as the money from left your pocket to right pocket, the most helpless when, still can will place state-owned assets reorganization, of course it will sacrifice the taxpayer and the interests of the shareholders, but debt crisis will not fully outbreaks. If with an optimistic attitude to see China's economy, you will find, a real estate bubble is a good thing, it will completely change China's economic structure and social values, be beneficial to long-term economic stable growth. If house prices fall in appear, economic or suffer short-term effect, but also can stimulate a new round of real estate consumption demand, if can rapidly digested inventory, will drive a new round of real estate investment. Since that real estate supply and demand imbalances, there is reason to believe that the purchasing power of strong will stimulate a new round of investment in real estate development, only real estate profiteering era is over it. The export decline is also an important factor of restricting growth. But the concept of rational, can find positive effect that decline in exports, reduce surplus, the money supply growth, be suppressed. On the one hand, inhibit the inflation, dissolve the bubble economy risk, on the other hand, promote economic restructuring, to China forced to turn to the leading domestic demand. The economic structure began to qualitative change, indicated the government control was forced to relax, economic growth led by the government for the consumer to ramp leading. From the government investment leading to excessive consumer demand leading, in the pattern of economic growth in the process of gradual change, certainly will DaoBi government reform. Because to make consumers and manufacturers decided to output, we must let the consumer decision-making and manufacturers, which requires the government to relax controls, increase the market freedom. Because, it depends on the consumer demand of disposable income and consumption tendency, also depends upon the enterprise can provide good commodities.NFL Jerseys If you let the market to increase supply, in addition to the tax cuts, also must loosen government regulation, encourage private capital for industrial investment. Thus see, shouldn't the pessimistic attitude for political reform. The government deregulation, reduce the micro intervention, seems to be just the government reform, but with the government's boundary narrowed, officials rent-seeking become difficult, and the forces of the market will recover gradually. Tax cuts lead to financial income growth dropped, become a tight budget, while the people's livelihood security voice rising, in the budget will be embodied in the government and the people of the game is open, so the government this time if the budget reform, regulating the government spending and promoting the democratization and budget sunshine, will promote the political democratization take a step forward. China's economy of the many problems, but GDP goal has been to the employment goals, because the labor supply revealed "lewis inflection point", the current unemployment is not outstanding, it makes economic downturn become is not fearful. To expand employment, the government encourages the development of service industry, encourage industrial investment, it will establish the endogenous growth momentum. Careful people will find, "17 big" in the report, had had "increased residents property income" view, and in this year the central economic work conference,Emphasize "effort to encourage his feet on the ground, industry, business and industry rich social atmosphere", this marks a ruling party to the nature of the economy know change, also indicates the real estate "hard" inevitable. Real estate "hard" is not the macro economic "hard", economic downside just is result of macroeconomic control. There is reason to believe that China will be the economic structure transformation into the low speed steady growth period. In 2012, China will have moderate growth and moderate changes. 
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